How the model works
Two monthly cash-flow paths
Both paths are modelled as pre-tax, unlevered operating cash flow after recurring capex and working capital, before financing, at time 0 and at every month end up to the horizon. Building spreads the build budget evenly over the build months, then ramps to mature cash flow. Acquiring pays the price, fees and one-off integration cost at closing, then earns the acquired cash flow less any cash-flow downside, with monthly integration costs during integration and optional net synergies only afterwards.
Present value and price parity
Each path is discounted at your annual rate converted to a monthly rate. The parity price is the difference between the acquisition value excluding the purchase price and the build value, carried forward to the closing month. It assumes one payment at closing and fixed fees. A negative result is shown as negative.
What is excluded
No value beyond the horizon is counted for either path, so try a longer horizon to see how much the answer depends on it. Debt and equity are kept out of operating value; use the capital stack builder for funding. EBITDA is not cash flow: if that is all you know, convert it first with the SDE and EBITDA calculator.
Method version
Method v1.0.0, 2026-10-22. Calculations are deterministic and run locally. Nothing you enter is sent anywhere unless you choose to share a brief.